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Date: 03 Dec 2006 19:09:01
From: George Orwell
Subject: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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Here all along, we were thinking maybe dubya was growing a few brain cells when it looks more and more like he was just doing the same old, same old, of stubbornly protecting his own failed policy. Looks more like Rummy was let go when he was finally coming around to seeing the truth. The truth DID set him free. Disclaimer-bush-bots-lots of words, some of them big and no pictures. Proceed at your own risk. December 3, 2006 NYT Rumsfeld Memo on Iraq Proposed ‘Major’ Change By MICHAEL R. GORDON and DAVID S. CLOUD WASHINGTON, Dec. 2 — Two days before he resigned as defense secretary, Donald H. Rumsfeld submitted a classified memo to the White House that acknowledged that the Bush administration’s strategy in Iraq was not working and called for a major course correction. “In my view it is time for a major adjustment,” wrote Mr. Rumsfeld, who has been a symbol of a dogged stay-the-course policy. “Clearly, what U.S. forces are currently doing in Iraq is not working well enough or fast enough.” Nor did Mr. Rumsfeld seem confident that the administration would readily develop an effective alternative. To limit the political fallout from shifting course, he suggested the administration consider a campaign to lower public expectations. “Announce that whatever new approach the U.S. decides on, the U.S. is doing so on a trial basis,” he wrote. “This will give us the ability to readjust and move to another course, if necessary, and therefore not ‘lose.’ ” “Recast the U.S. military mission and the U.S. goals (how we talk about them) — go minimalist,” he added. The memo suggests frustration with the pace of turning over responsibility to the Iraqi authorities; in fact, the memo calls for examination of ideas that roughly parallel troop withdrawal proposals presented by some of the White House’s sharpest Democratic critics. (Text of the Memo) The memo’s discussion of possible troop reduction options offers a counterpoint to Mr. Rumsfeld’s frequent public suggestions that discussions about force levels are driven by requests from American military commanders. It also puts on the table several ideas for troop redeployments or withdrawals, even as there have been recent pronouncements from American commanders emphasizing the need to maintain troop levels for the time being. The memorandum sometimes has a finger-wagging tone, as Mr. Rumsfeld says that the Iraqis must “pull up their socks,” and suggests that reconstruction aid should be withheld in violent areas to avoid rewarding “bad behavior.” Other options called for shrinking the number of bases, establishing benchmarks that would mark the Iraqis’ progress toward political, economic and security goals and conducting a “reverse embeds” program to attach Iraqi soldiers to American squads. The memo was finished one day after President Bush interviewed Robert M. Gates, the president of Texas A&M University, as a potential successor to Mr. Rumsfeld and one day before the midterm elections. By then it was clear that the Republicans appeared likely to suffer a setback at the polls and that the administration was poised to begin reconsidering its Iraq strategy. The memo provides no indication that Mr. Rumsfeld intended to leave his Pentagon post. It is unclear whether he knew at that point that he was about to be replaced, though the White House has said that Mr. Bush and Mr. Rumsfeld had a number of conversations on the matter. Told that The New York Times had obtained a copy of it, a Pentagon spokesman, Eric Ruff, confirmed its authenticity. “As it became clear that people were considering options for the way forward, the secretary had some views on the subject, and this memo reflects those views,” he said. At the Pentagon, Mr. Rumsfeld has been famous for his “snowflakes” — memos that drift down to the bureaucracy from on high and that are used to ask questions, stimulate debate and shape policy. Mr. Rumsfeld’s Nov. 6 memorandum, circulated as part of the administration’s review of Iraq policy, is written in that spirit and with the same blunt aphorisms that Mr. Rumsfeld frequently uses in public. Unlike the lawyerly memo on Iraq policy submitted Nov. 8 by Stephen J. Hadley, the national security adviser, Mr. Rumsfeld’s listed more than a dozen “illustrative options” that the defense secretary did not endorse, but suggested merited serious consideration. “Many of these options could, and in a number of cases, should be done in combination with others,” Mr. Rumsfeld advised. With Mr. Rumsfeld’s resignation, the options no longer have the same weight. In recent weeks, some have been discarded as the Bush administration tries to adjust its military and political strategy in Iraq. But others, like increasing the number of advisers attached to Iraqi forces, live on and have also been recommended by others. Mr. Rumsfeld, who has presided over two wars and is one of the longest- serving Pentagon chiefs, is scheduled to leave when his designated successor, Mr. Gates, is confirmed by the Senate, expected later this month. Titled “Iraq — Illustrative New Courses of Action,” the memo reflects mounting concern over a war that, as Mr. Rumsfeld put it, has evolved from “major combat operations to counterterrorism, to counterinsurgency, to dealing with death squads and sectarian violence.” The first section of the memo contains two pages of options that Mr. Rumsfeld describes as “above the line” ideas worthy of consideration. Some that Mr. Rumsfeld found intriguing appear to reflect his long-held view that the United States should use relatively modest force in intervening in foreign countries to avoid creating a dependency on American power. That approach, critics have charged, left the United States unprepared to deal with the chaos that followed the ouster of Saddam Hussein. Mr. Rumsfeld has frequently emphasized the difficulty of stabilizing Iraq and the need to turn over responsibility to Iraqi authorities as quickly as possible. But he has also been a forceful, even cantankerous, defender of American policy, often insisting his critics were unduly pessimistic. On Oct. 31, just a week before finishing the memo, Mr. Rumsfeld told a radio interviewer, “I feel that we are making good progress with the piece of it the Defense Department has.” One option Mr. Rumsfeld offered calls for modest troop withdrawals “so Iraqis know they have to pull up their socks, step up and take responsibility for their country.” Another option calls for redeploying American troops from “vulnerable positions” in Baghdad and other cities to safer areas in Iraq or Kuwait, where they would act as a “quick reaction force.” That idea is similar to a plan suggested by Representative John P. Murtha, a Pennsylvania Democrat, a plan that the White House has soundly rebuffed. Still another option calls for consolidating the number of American bases in Iraq to 5 from 55 by July 2007, a considerable shrinking of the American footprint. At the same time, Mr. Rumsfeld all but dismisses the idea of setting a firm date for removing forces from Iraq, listing it as one of the less palatable ideas. One of the more provocative options would punish provinces that failed to cooperate with the Americans by withdrawing economic assistance and security. “Stop rewarding bad behavior, as was done in Falluja when they pushed in reconstruction funds, and start rewarding good behavior,” the option reads. “No more reconstruction assistance in areas where there is violence.” Some military officers have said that the idea of denying assistance in some areas ignores the fact that many Iraqis are afraid to cooperate with the Americans for fear of retaliation by insurgents. Falluja has been the focus of reconstruction efforts following an offensive by Americans that crippled city services and damaged scores of buildings, leaving the United States few options beyond rebuilding or evacuating the city. Now, it is considered by the Marines to be one of the few relatively stable areas in the dangerous Anbar Province. Many of the other towns in the region have become even more hostile because the economic assistance has been minimal, leaving the residents feeling neglected by the authorities in Baghdad, military officers say. Then, too, work on infrastructure that sprawls across the country, like the electrical grid and the oil pipelines, network, cannot be limited to nonviolent areas. “There is an element of throwing in the towel and effectively giving up on at least some areas of the country,” said James Dobbins, a former State Department official and director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at RAND. In any case, administration officials indicated this week that withholding assistance was not under serious consideration. Reflecting exasperation with much of the American government, another option in the memo raises the possibility of using military reservists to “beef up” the Iraqi government’s ministries. “Give up on trying to get other USG Departments to do it,” he writes, referring to other United States government agencies. Taking a leaf out of Mr. Hussein’s book, Mr. Rumsfeld seemed to see some merit in the former dictator’s practice of paying Iraqi leaders. “Provide money to key political and religious leaders (as Saddam Hussein did), to get them to help us get through this difficult period,” one option reads. The list of favored options notably does not mention the “clear, hold and build” approach that the White House has touted as its strategy for waging counterinsurgency. That is a troop-intensive approach that calls for clearing contested areas with American and Iraqi troops, holding them with American and Iraqi forces and then carrying out reconstruction programs to win support. Nor does the list make the withdrawal of American forces explicitly contingent on improving conditions in Iraq. The final page of the memo is a brief list of six “less attractive” options, which Mr. Rumsfeld describes as “below the line.” They include an “aggressive federalism plan,” an international conference modeled on the Dayton accords that produced an agreement on Bosnia and an idea that is currently being seriously discussed by senior administration officials: temporarily sending 20,000 additional American forces or more to Baghdad to try to improve security there and regain momentum. Moving a large fraction of American forces to Baghdad to “attempt to control it,” Mr. Rumsfeld writes without further elaboration, would be “below the line.”
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Date: 03 Dec 2006 12:15:59
From: multi
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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On Sun, 3 Dec 2006 19:09:01 +0100 (CET), George Orwell <nobody@mixmaster.it > wrote: >Looks more like >Rummy was let go when he was finally coming around to seeing the truth. Not Rummy. Read Cole's take on the memo. http://www.juancole.com/ If you aren't familiar with Cole, he's a Middle East history professor at U of M who speaks Arabic and Persian, and his blog gives the best summary of Arabic press reports available to laymen.
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Date: 03 Dec 2006 13:22:15
From: The World Wide Wade
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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In article <2pb6n21bv107msc2o3cvr6deqp6sluvbcv@4ax.com >, multi <multi@asm.org > wrote: > On Sun, 3 Dec 2006 19:09:01 +0100 (CET), George Orwell > <nobody@mixmaster.it> wrote: > >Looks more like > >Rummy was let go when he was finally coming around to seeing the truth. > > Not Rummy. Read Cole's take on the memo. > http://www.juancole.com/ > > If you aren't familiar with Cole, he's a Middle East history professor > at U of M who speaks Arabic and Persian, and his blog gives the best > summary of Arabic press reports available to laymen. 3. Rumsfeld openly admits that he wants to run Iraq just like Saddam did: 'Provide money to key political and religious leaders (as Saddam Hussein did), to get them to help us get through this difficult period. ' I mean, bribing people to be your puppets is bad enough, but citing Saddam's policies as an example for how Iraq should be run is absolutely outrageous. ---------- Actually Cole is outrageous here. The use of one of Saddam's stratagems does not imply "he wants to run Iraq just like Saddam did."
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Date: 04 Dec 2006 00:55:32
From: George Orwell
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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In article <waderameyxiii-8EBD00.13221503122006@comcast.dca.giganews.com > The World Wide Wade <waderameyxiii@comcast.remove13.net > wrote: > > In article <2pb6n21bv107msc2o3cvr6deqp6sluvbcv@4ax.com>, > multi <multi@asm.org> wrote: > > > On Sun, 3 Dec 2006 19:09:01 +0100 (CET), George Orwell > > <nobody@mixmaster.it> wrote: > > >Looks more like > > >Rummy was let go when he was finally coming around to seeing the truth. > > > > Not Rummy. Read Cole's take on the memo. > > http://www.juancole.com/ > > > > If you aren't familiar with Cole, he's a Middle East history professor > > at U of M who speaks Arabic and Persian, and his blog gives the best > > summary of Arabic press reports available to laymen. > > > 3. Rumsfeld openly admits that he wants to run Iraq just like > Saddam did: > > 'Provide money to key political and religious leaders (as Saddam > Hussein did), to get them to help us get through this difficult > period. ' > > I mean, bribing people to be your puppets is bad enough, but > citing Saddam's policies as an example for how Iraq should be run > is absolutely outrageous. > ---------- > > Actually Cole is outrageous here. The use of one of Saddam's > stratagems does not imply "he wants to run Iraq just like Saddam Before we went into iraq, I heard a few talking heads say that like saddam or not, he had things under control. Of course, it was his control or none at all and sure enough. The factions of this civil war probably couldn't believe their own eyes when the US invaded, knowing that soon, saddam would be gone and they could try to further their own agendas. We have created this civil war and like most civil wars, it will have to be settled by those inside the country. Thanks again bush and how many years has it been since "Mission Accomplished?"
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Date: 03 Dec 2006 14:53:34
From: multi
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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On Sun, 03 Dec 2006 13:22:15 -0800, The World Wide Wade <waderameyxiii@comcast.remove13.net > wrote: >Actually Cole is outrageous here. The use of one of Saddam's >stratagems does not imply "he wants to run Iraq just like Saddam >did." Your complaint might be justified if Rumsfeld hadn't previously signed off on kidnapping, torture, and massive reprisals (e.g., the decimation of Fallujah for the killing of three mercenaries). Running Iraq like Saddam did would be an improvement over the way we have run it. I realize that some people consider a peer-reviewed Johns Hopkins study to be less credible than Bush Administration propaganda, but we appear to have killed far more Iraqis in three years than Saddam did in ten, not to mention the decline in the quality of life (less water, power, sanitation, freedom in religion, dress, and education, employment, etc.)
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Date: 03 Dec 2006 16:45:13
From: The World Wide Wade
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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In article <7dk6n2pjrenij7193k1fhbqm9l0oj2bnme@4ax.com >, multi <multi@asm.org > wrote: > On Sun, 03 Dec 2006 13:22:15 -0800, The World Wide Wade > <waderameyxiii@comcast.remove13.net> wrote: > >Actually Cole is outrageous here. The use of one of Saddam's > >stratagems does not imply "he wants to run Iraq just like Saddam > >did." > > Your complaint might be justified It's justified, because it's a simple matter of logic. You can argue that other facts might be brought to bear on the case, as you do below (most of which I agree with), but then that would be your argument, not Cole's, and my complaint is with Cole. > if Rumsfeld hadn't previously signed > off on kidnapping, torture, and massive reprisals (e.g., the > decimation of Fallujah for the killing of three mercenaries). > Running > Iraq like Saddam did would be an improvement over the way we have run > it. I realize that some people consider a peer-reviewed Johns Hopkins > study to be less credible than Bush Administration propaganda, but we > appear to have killed far more Iraqis in three years than Saddam did > in ten, not to mention the decline in the quality of life (less water, > power, sanitation, freedom in religion, dress, and education, > employment, etc.)
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Date: 04 Dec 2006 09:12:05
From: John B.
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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Fairway wrote: > George Orwell wrote: > > Before we went into iraq, I heard a few talking heads say that like > > saddam or not, he had things under control. Of course, it was his control > > or none at all and sure enough. > > Stalin also had things firmly under control. So did Franco. Most > dictators do. > > > Thanks again bush and how many years > > has it been since "Mission Accomplished?" > > The mission of invading Iraq was a wonderful success. The Sunnis are > stirring up things but that will pass. Bush did the right thing. Trust > the great leader and shut up. > > F If the mission was a wonderful success, then why are we stilll there? And by the way, Moqtada al-Sadr is not a Sunni.
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Date: 04 Dec 2006 08:24:34
From: Fairway
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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George Orwell wrote: > Before we went into iraq, I heard a few talking heads say that like > saddam or not, he had things under control. Of course, it was his control > or none at all and sure enough. Stalin also had things firmly under control. So did Franco. Most dictators do. > Thanks again bush and how many years > has it been since "Mission Accomplished?" The mission of invading Iraq was a wonderful success. The Sunnis are stirring up things but that will pass. Bush did the right thing. Trust the great leader and shut up. F
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Date: 04 Dec 2006 10:03:47
From: The World Wide Wade
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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In article <1165249474.136395.39440@80g2000cwy.googlegroups.com >, "Fairway" <arminsson@yahoo.com > wrote: > George Orwell wrote: > > Before we went into iraq, I heard a few talking heads say that like > > saddam or not, he had things under control. Of course, it was his control > > or none at all and sure enough. > > Stalin also had things firmly under control. So did Franco. Most > dictators do. Which is why the US has a long record of supporting dictators who do business "the right way". > > Thanks again bush and how many years > > has it been since "Mission Accomplished?" > > The mission of invading Iraq was a wonderful success. The Sunnis are > stirring up things but that will pass. Your ignorance is apalling. > Bush did the right thing. Trust > the great leader and shut up. Good one.
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Date: 04 Dec 2006 22:04:38
From: George Orwell
Subject: Re: APALLING???-OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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In article <waderameyxiii-5E2285.10034704122006@comcast.dca.giganews.com > The World Wide Wade <waderameyxiii@comcast.remove13.net > wrote: > > In article > <1165249474.136395.39440@80g2000cwy.googlegroups.com>, > "Fairway" <arminsson@yahoo.com> wrote: > > > George Orwell wrote: > > > Before we went into iraq, I heard a few talking heads say that like > > > saddam or not, he had things under control. Of course, it was his control > > > or none at all and sure enough. > > > > Stalin also had things firmly under control. So did Franco. Most > > dictators do. > > Which is why the US has a long record of supporting dictators who > do business "the right way". > > > > Thanks again bush and how many years > > > has it been since "Mission Accomplished?" > > > > The mission of invading Iraq was a wonderful success. The Sunnis are > > stirring up things but that will pass. > > Your ignorance is apalling. > > > Bush did the right thing. Trust > > the great leader and shut up. > > Good one. "Your ignorance is apalling" as you misspell appalling. LOLOL
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Date: 04 Dec 2006 21:49:35
From: George Orwell
Subject: Re: OT-Rummy May Have Been Right
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In article <1165249474.136395.39440@80g2000cwy.googlegroups.com > "Fairway" <arminsson@yahoo.com > wrote: > > > George Orwell wrote: > > Before we went into iraq, I heard a few talking heads say that like > > saddam or not, he had things under control. Of course, it was his control > > or none at all and sure enough. > > Stalin also had things firmly under control. So did Franco. Most > dictators do. > > > Thanks again bush and how many years > > has it been since "Mission Accomplished?" > > The mission of invading Iraq was a wonderful success. The Sunnis are > stirring up things but that will pass. Bush did the right thing. Trust > the great leader and shut up. > > F Even bush did up to a few weeks ago.
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